!
← Back to all models

AVM Model Details: Vaughan, ON

Detailed performance metrics for our automated valuation models in this location.

Sale price estimation model

This model estimates the sale price of properties in this location based on historical data and market trends.

Key Performance Metrics

Median Absolute Percentage Error (M. MAPE)6.6%Half of our predictions are within this percentage of the actual value
Testing R² Score0.910How much of the price variation our model explains
Root Mean Square Error$186158Average prediction error in dollars
Mean Absolute Error$112107Average absolute difference between predicted and actual

Accuracy Distribution

Percentage of predictions within various error ranges

Within 5%40.3%
Within 10%66.5%
Within 15%82.5%
Within 20%90.5%

Prediction Bias Analysis

Does the model tend to overestimate or underestimate?

Mean Bias-$19122Average prediction bias (+ means overestimate)
Median Bias-$5596Typical prediction bias
Over-prediction Rate47.5%Percentage of predictions that are above the actual value
Under-prediction Rate52.5%Percentage of predictions that are below actual value

Error Distribution Percentiles

The absolute error amount at different percentiles - for example, '90th percentile: $50,000' means 90% of predictions have errors less than $50,000

Percentile10th25th50th75th90th95th
Error Amount$11019$27644$64708$142475$265428$347553

Model Configuration & Training

Training Samples7051
Testing Samples1763
Training R²0.960
Testing R²0.910
Last Updated2025-07-03

Additional Performance Metrics

Mean Absolute Percentage Error9.3%Average percentage error across all predictions
Forecast Standard Deviation$185173Spread of prediction errors
Coefficient of Variation16.7%Relative variability of predictions
10th Percentile Error %1.3%10% of predictions have error less than this
90th Percentile Error %19.4%90% of predictions have error less than this

List price estimation model

This model estimates the list price of properties in this location based on historical data and market trends.

Key Performance Metrics

Median Absolute Percentage Error (M. MAPE)6.4%Half of our predictions are within this percentage of the actual value
Testing R² Score0.910How much of the price variation our model explains
Root Mean Square Error$198583Average prediction error in dollars
Mean Absolute Error$118547Average absolute difference between predicted and actual

Accuracy Distribution

Percentage of predictions within various error ranges

Within 5%40.0%
Within 10%66.8%
Within 15%82.0%
Within 20%90.9%

Prediction Bias Analysis

Does the model tend to overestimate or underestimate?

Mean Bias-$19570Average prediction bias (+ means overestimate)
Median Bias-$5938Typical prediction bias
Over-prediction Rate46.9%Percentage of predictions that are above the actual value
Under-prediction Rate53.1%Percentage of predictions that are below actual value

Error Distribution Percentiles

The absolute error amount at different percentiles - for example, '90th percentile: $50,000' means 90% of predictions have errors less than $50,000

Percentile10th25th50th75th90th95th
Error Amount$11460$27125$64640$152252$272654$383418

Model Configuration & Training

Training Samples7051
Testing Samples1763
Training R²0.970
Testing R²0.910
Last Updated2025-07-03

Additional Performance Metrics

Mean Absolute Percentage Error9.2%Average percentage error across all predictions
Forecast Standard Deviation$197617Spread of prediction errors
Coefficient of Variation16.9%Relative variability of predictions
10th Percentile Error %1.2%10% of predictions have error less than this
90th Percentile Error %19.3%90% of predictions have error less than this

Monthly rent estimation model

This model estimates the monthly rent of properties in this location based on historical data and market trends.

Key Performance Metrics

Median Absolute Percentage Error (M. MAPE)8.4%Half of our predictions are within this percentage of the actual value
Testing R² Score0.460How much of the price variation our model explains
Root Mean Square Error$488Average prediction error in dollars
Mean Absolute Error$360Average absolute difference between predicted and actual

Accuracy Distribution

Percentage of predictions within various error ranges

Within 5%24.8%
Within 10%56.9%
Within 15%66.7%
Within 20%81.0%

Prediction Bias Analysis

Does the model tend to overestimate or underestimate?

Mean Bias-$48Average prediction bias (+ means overestimate)
Median Bias-$18Typical prediction bias
Over-prediction Rate47.1%Percentage of predictions that are above the actual value
Under-prediction Rate52.9%Percentage of predictions that are below actual value

Error Distribution Percentiles

The absolute error amount at different percentiles - for example, '90th percentile: $50,000' means 90% of predictions have errors less than $50,000

Percentile10th25th50th75th90th95th
Error Amount$51$135$252$511$887$1021

Model Configuration & Training

Training Samples609
Testing Samples153
Training R²0.900
Testing R²0.460
Last Updated2025-07-03

Additional Performance Metrics

Mean Absolute Percentage Error12.7%Average percentage error across all predictions
Forecast Standard Deviation$486Spread of prediction errors
Coefficient of Variation17.3%Relative variability of predictions
10th Percentile Error %2.1%10% of predictions have error less than this
90th Percentile Error %27.5%90% of predictions have error less than this